No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $333.29
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $326.86
Polymarket Trader
0xF678D01Ce19Bd505351412504cFA66774d23A255-1775517236669
0xf678d01ce19bd505351412504cfa66774d23a255
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $825.08
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$423.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$319.07
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.67
- Potential profit
- $327.67
- User PnL
- -$29.49
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $8.58
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $499.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.91
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $53.25
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $39.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $37.75
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.52
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 14% 8.57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 74.8% 107.72 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65.4% 123.95 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 74.2% 2,456.02 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 30% 6,207.93 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 69% 123.96 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?Yes 9.2% 887.19 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 6,207.94 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.6% 1,878.04 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75.7% 1,878.04 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Yes 2.9% 1,613.25 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 16.2% 237.54 shares