Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $270.7K
- Potential payout
- $271.11K
- Potential profit
- $406.67
- User PnL
- $135.56
Polymarket Trader
SmallFishInWhaleStomach
@entropy_100
0xf67f72df65797a85dc9fd44d57adfe5b7b4a31cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $270.72K
- Realized PnL
- $129.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.08K
- Potential profit
- $57.08K
- User PnL
- -$53.95K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.71K
- Potential profit
- $49.71K
- User PnL
- -$44.74K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $19.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64K
No position
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.21K
No position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06K
Yes position
ZachXBT investigation post over 14M views on day one?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.15
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.14
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $947.43
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.82
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $907.87
No position
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.14
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.93
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.06
Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $784.26
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.55
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.38
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.72
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.64
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.01
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $629.6
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.17
Yes position
ZachXBT investigation post over 10M views on day one?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.61
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $523.83
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.11
No position
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.46
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 271,110.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 94.9% 21,206.41 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 90% 42,715.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 90% 78,863.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 244,935.48 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 45,866.02 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.5% 13,353.93 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.4% 20,199.9 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.4% 4,848.03 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.8% 20,000 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.7% 10,458 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 59,897.49 shares