Polymarket Trader

NerdOdyssey

0xf68864da724dfc39b3e856ba704f2791f07fac81

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $732.65
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $108.47
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$191.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $902.27
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$13.18

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $593.44
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$43.44

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $337.95
Potential payout: $361.45
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $37.95

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $44.31
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $300.52
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$5.69

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $203.54
Potential payout: $222.45
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $53.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.22

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

No position

Will Tesla reach $518 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $37.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.62

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.13

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Will Tesla dip to $345 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 344.83 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 81% 74.14 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Yes 99.5% 214.4 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 8.2% 2,439.02 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Yes 93.3% 214.41 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 26.7% 301.08 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

No 85.8% 349.53 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 66% 151.52 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

No 96.2% 519.53 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 68.9% 145.07 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 32% 100.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 99.1% 10.41 shares