Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.26
- Potential payout
- $32.52K
- Potential profit
- $32.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$292.65
Polymarket Trader
RooksD000
0xf68aa066c657b1ffc4da0525169084bb303763a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- $10.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $45.35
- Potential payout
- $12.96K
- Potential profit
- $12.91K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$44.62
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $8.35K
- Potential profit
- $6.99K
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $72.63
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $140.42
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.58
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $738.6
- Potential profit
- $733.8
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$95.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $709.64
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $60.48
- Potential payout
- $711.54
- Potential profit
- $651.06
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.52
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $708.33
- Potential profit
- $702.31
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $690.48
- Potential profit
- $674.6
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $51.7
- Potential payout
- $549.95
- Potential profit
- $498.26
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $42.78
- Potential payout
- $450.37
- Potential profit
- $407.58
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$82.21
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $441.71
- Potential profit
- $441.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $420.79
- Potential profit
- $419.95
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$114.16
Yes position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $375.96
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $28.33
- Potential payout
- $377.71
- Potential profit
- $349.39
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$71.67
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $363.72
- Potential profit
- $348.8
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$95.09
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.17
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $330.83
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $330.83
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $283.29
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $283.86
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17.48
- Potential payout
- $205.6
- Potential profit
- $188.12
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $10.48
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.1
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid?
Ends May 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.57
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.14
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.43
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.38
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.03
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.67
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.97
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.89
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.69
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103
Yes position
Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.67
Yes position
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.8
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.43
Yes position
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
Ends Dec 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 8.9% 56.39 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.5% 4,106.82 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 10.1% 493.57 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1% 1,046.13 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.9% 3,528.67 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.6% 3,276.63 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 15.9% 320.75 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 17.5% 285.71 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares