Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $695.96
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Polymarket Trader
0xF68c85bf40bA590b1e73f2b4Fc2b101669B166d6-1748466154423
0xf68c85bf40ba590b1e73f2b4fc2b101669b166d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $78.83
- Potential payout
- $829.77
- Potential profit
- $750.95
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$331.17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $545.18
- Potential payout
- $602.41
- Potential profit
- $57.23
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.47
- Potential profit
- $531.47
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $37.23
- Potential payout
- $496.39
- Potential profit
- $459.16
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$62.77
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $166.24
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$19.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.56
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.09
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.51
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 909.09 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 26% 769.23 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 28% 714.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 20.1% 496.39 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 18.7% 2,680.63 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo 49.7% 402.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 602.41 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 67.4% 445.2 shares