goldenjones.abc

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.82
Potential profit: $7.82
User PnL: -$4.98

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$4.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $7.49
User PnL: -$4.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 25?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $5.21
User PnL: -$5

No position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $5.15
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $5.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be 2+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Solana dip to $65 on June 25?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 25?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $5.06
User PnL: -$4.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 25?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 25?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Header" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.2

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.33

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.62

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.93

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.47

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.66

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.25

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.42

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET