Polymarket Trader

Simbol49

0xf69f2b07e2e0f2346a24398dec8c85b05d0e1c39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.6
Realized PnL: $7.35
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $20.67
Potential profit: $20.02
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Yes 6% 20.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Yes 21% 7.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Yes 55% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Yes 29.5% 18.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Yes 44% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Yes 9% 18.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 99% 4.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 96% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Down 93% 1.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Down 50% 2 shares