Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $32.68
- Potential payout
- $33.26
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.68
Polymarket Trader
0x4815f842d8946C80331049aeDeD5c7c656930293-1772336588248
0xf6a0604831c1a00bfd45bd010040cf489ea864f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.68
- Realized PnL
- -$14.74
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 90.2% 33.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99% 20.2 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 43.1% 2.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.4% 9.05 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 63.3% 23.7 shares