Polymarket Trader

0xf6a38450E5422AD7353596FbbdA3255bFc3cAfea-1777253157467

0xf6a38450e5422ad7353596fbbda3255bfc3cafea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.14
Realized PnL: $163.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.99
Potential profit: $103.99
User PnL: -$36.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.99
Potential profit: $103.99
User PnL: -$34.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$43.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.85
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $36.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 9.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 18.3% 71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Down 99.9% 81.08 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET

Down 99.9% 26.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET

Down 99.7% 94.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET

Down 99.8% 26.05 shares