No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $281.91
- Potential payout
- $301.99
- Potential profit
- $20.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
Stephen7778
0xf6b1183088a08987841a753535790f7aa06383f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $365.76
- Realized PnL
- $158.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $83.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 366 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.4% 323 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98% 320 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 97.5% 134 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 210 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 95% 128 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 95% 110 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.4% 460 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 95% 370 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 86% 95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 160 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No 94.3% 99.18 shares