Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
Dax639
0xf6b6bb332c1e45ad3a2b5bb14d0dedb428ddd43d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $401.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $210?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be greater than 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C on June 24?No 99.9% 6.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 24?No 99.8% 8.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 24?No 99.9% 8.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 23?No 99.9% 8.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 23?No 99.8% 7.21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 23?No 99.8% 6.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?No 99.9% 6.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on June 18?No 99.9% 8.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 18?No 99.9% 7.51 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 18?No 99.9% 7.81 shares