No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $395.45
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$53.46
Polymarket Trader
HungryBear929
0xf6cf5391fac5bf7ed7d14fe60dce8fabbd4525e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $2.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$98.15
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $90.38
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$201.62
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $549.26
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $571.68
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $226.86
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $929
- Potential profit
- $929
- User PnL
- -$167.22
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $270.1
- Potential payout
- $486.67
- Potential profit
- $216.57
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $425.84
- Potential profit
- $425.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$328.79
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $275.24
- Potential payout
- $330.62
- Potential profit
- $55.38
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $46.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $124.94
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$21.74
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $457.64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.81
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.43
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.36
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.54
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.84
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 20% 129 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 23.3% 1,929 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 30% 263 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 486.67 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 69.3% 330.62 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 21% 1,390.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 57% 941.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 1,176.35 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 77.3% 425.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 1,176.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 53.6% 545.14 shares