Polymarket Trader

MGB2

0xf6d1edf992fbcccd81975ce57feb931b948a32b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.98K
Realized PnL: $29.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $4.71K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $306.84
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $91.37

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $605
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$548.99

No position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $160
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $250
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $280

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $955.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $65.5

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $998.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $7.5

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $731.76
Potential payout: $919.88
Potential profit: $188.12
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $41.85

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $199.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.9
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $150.78
Potential payout: $160.32
Potential profit: $9.54
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $29.17
Potential payout: $110.27
Potential profit: $81.1
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $9.22K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.06

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $837.83

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.42

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.78

No position

Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.66

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $280.1

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.32

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207

Yes position

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.96

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.14

No position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117

No position

Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.48

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.21

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $70.6

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.47

Yes position

Will Barcelona beat Red Star Belgrade?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?

Yes 43% 100 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

No 35% 110.27 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 55% 446.63 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.6% 4,637.85 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 97.9% 329.5 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

No 29% 8,690.09 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 65% 20.64 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 66% 2,102.55 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

No 36% 233.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 95.2 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

No 99.2% 100 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

No 97.4% 100 shares