Polymarket Trader

0xF6D97e493E7aD3CF520dbaeb47DFcd8F8b01C0d8-1772928801450

0xf6d97e493e7ad3cf520dbaeb47dfcd8f8b01c0d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.18
Realized PnL: $18.86
Win rate: 78.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $49.79
Potential profit: $48.62
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.15

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

US bank failure by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.1% 6.17 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 95.8% 5.78 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 50 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 33% 6.06 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 57% 3.51 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83.5% 9.15 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 93.1% 9.13 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 87.4% 9.15 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 92.7% 8.63 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 86.5% 5.78 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 25 shares