No position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Polymarket Trader
cloud86
0xf6fd118f3b3e8ecce273933f053456a38ca99e72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.82
- Realized PnL
- $10.65
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 92% 1.68 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 3.7% 95 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 73% 6 shares
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Yes 51.9% 19 shares
- Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 77% 1 shares
- Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 78% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 51% 9 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 76% 6 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes 52% 9 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 25% 20 shares