Polymarket Trader

0xf704...9556

0xf70489a488695c5ae6cf42b60d127bcd84d19556

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $99.02
Realized PnL: $21.13
Win rate: 93.3%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $25.4
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $6.16
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $8.77
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.95
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $6.6
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?

No 99.1% 7.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?

No 99% 6.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?

No 72% 6.94 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?

No 99% 7.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 18?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?

No 99.1% 5.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?

Yes 19.7% 25.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?

No 80% 7.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 18?

No 94% 5.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?

No 87% 5.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 17?

No 99.1% 8.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 19?

No 80% 5.1 shares