N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $117.54
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$95.58
Polymarket Trader
ffefff
0xf7139b47577d6f0ac7ad72bee95205c9db170eae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.46
- Realized PnL
- $30.9
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 98.5% 90.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 92% 90.07 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.5% 140.43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 125.61 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.1% 125.61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 92% 31.35 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.6% 14.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 14.78 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 29.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.7% 59.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 96% 57.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 98.2% 55.31 shares