Chudnik86

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $172.53
Potential profit: $168.47
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $94.96
Potential profit: $91.97
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $12.42
Potential payout: $17.87
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $17.3
User PnL: -$13.32

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $16.06
Potential profit: $11.16
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $13.91
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.65
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $5.87
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $4.04
User PnL: -$2.91

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $3.81
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.12
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8
Potential profit: $1.8
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.34

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.72

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.55

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.99

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.1

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.93

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.52

Sabalenka position

WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.87

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.51

No position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?