Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $657.07
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$198.73
Polymarket Trader
0xf724...85cc
0xf724e04d47697c4bea883804106daf5a6da285cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.5K
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $394.75
- Potential payout
- $831.04
- Potential profit
- $436.3
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $20.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.39
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.05
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $17.43
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.19
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$92.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$332
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$826.81
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 831.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 686.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 686.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37% 548.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33.8% 548.16 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 19% 1,264.42 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 18.8% 3,267.07 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 10.1% 12,271.11 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 54.4% 701.63 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 27.9% 233.7 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 38.1% 880.24 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 20.9% 2,649.59 shares