Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $31.67K
- Potential profit
- $27.51K
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Polymarket Trader
ziyou12388
0xf72ae1f4f0715e8d97ff60e89699a240500cd9da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.17K
- Realized PnL
- $8.63K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.77
- Potential profit
- $289.77
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.12
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $457.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 105.35 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 17,202.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 295,786.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 2,220.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 3,664 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 2,767 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 3,853 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 3,952 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.5% 3,110 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.6% 942 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.6% 4,100 shares