profitWiner

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $418.78
Potential profit: $417.11
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $340.93
Potential profit: $339.74
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.04
Potential profit: $293.04
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $240.52
Potential profit: $240.16
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $142.85
Potential profit: $142.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.03
Potential profit: $102.03
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.05
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $99.72
Potential profit: $98.97
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.6
Potential profit: $95.6
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $61.76
Potential profit: $61.54
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.34
Potential profit: $53.34
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.59
Potential profit: $50.59
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $33.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $33.86
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $26.9
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $25.72
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.63
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $22.9
Potential profit: $22.84
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $15.86
Potential profit: $15.48
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $8.08
Potential profit: $8.07
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 17?