meteoblue

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $4.09K
User PnL: -$37.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$87.09

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$25.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$208.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$34.51

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $299.7
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$71.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$48.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$169.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $291.09
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$83.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$53.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$87.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$38.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$50.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$75.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$337.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$174.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$16.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$95.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$58.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$21.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$33.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$25.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$49.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$751.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$142.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$25.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$11.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999
Potential profit: $999
User PnL: -$10.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.8
Potential profit: $996.8
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $895.19
Potential profit: $895.19
User PnL: -$151.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $884.96
Potential profit: $884.96
User PnL: -$468.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $860.37
Potential profit: $860.37
User PnL: -$53.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $825.85
Potential profit: $825.85
User PnL: -$132.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.63
Potential profit: $659.63
User PnL: -$202.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.01
Potential profit: $659.01
User PnL: -$66.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $654.01
Potential profit: $654.01
User PnL: -$65.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $659.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.36

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $399.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.73

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $392.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.34

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 29?