Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $190.92
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 7.75x
- User PnL
- -$11.08
Polymarket Trader
Spaceling
0xf7640327547d52900a32fe33667de0fc78ca1919
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.92
- Realized PnL
- $912.64
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.57
- Potential profit
- $413.57
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.67
- Potential profit
- $171.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $159.09
- Potential profit
- $158.69
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Yes position
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.48
- Potential profit
- $156.48
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.78
- Potential profit
- $127.78
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.5
- Potential profit
- $125.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $28.62
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $21.63
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.38
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.53
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.52
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Trump nationalize elections?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2.4% 159.09 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 4% 125.5 shares
- Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.3% 156.48 shares
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.5% 400 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 99.9% 496.14 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 18.86 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 48% 20.4 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.8% 19.49 shares
- Will Trump nationalize elections?Yes 21% 50.49 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 41.66 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.6% 111.11 shares