Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $3.87K
- Potential payout
- $19.82K
- Potential profit
- $15.94K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$6.03K
Polymarket Trader
poli.monaco
0xf767fa803ef11754c87175515f071eb487b261df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.98K
- Realized PnL
- $27.28K
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $15.94K
- Potential payout
- $19.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.03K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $13.75K
- Potential payout
- $13.87K
- Potential profit
- $124.86
- User PnL
- $976.32
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.82K
- Potential payout
- $11.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $600.39
- Potential payout
- $621.84
- Potential profit
- $21.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $71.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.57K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.5
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.72
Yes position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92% 1,340 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 89% 351.38 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 77% 68.49 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 79.5% 5,358.14 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 90.6% 212.8 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 88.1% 500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 4,897.69 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 85% 621.84 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 20% 1,468.05 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 88.5% 291.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 90.9% 202.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 90.9% 112.25 shares