Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$58.44
Polymarket Trader
0xf77a...672c
0xf77a5a1d695440e0deb820f60bfeedf654a1672c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.87
- Realized PnL
- -$16.05
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$114.16
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$424.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.78
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.75
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 384.62 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 71.02 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.6% 590 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.2% 159.02 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.6% 519.7 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.7% 518.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 317.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 11.7% 929.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.9% 372.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.8% 62.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 16.2% 494.54 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 26.6% 695.69 shares