Polymarket Trader

Kozuki

0xf78bfa3b0d4d9898de258139df8da331096fc5dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $375.42
Realized PnL: $101.61
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $129.38
Potential payout: $528.07
Potential profit: $398.69
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $29.38

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $131.43
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $154.29
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $55.79
Potential payout: $282.49
Potential profit: $226.69
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $32.42
Potential payout: $40.28
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $993.9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.74

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.03

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$188.94

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 79% 96.86 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 76% 131.58 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

No 96.8% 37.22 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 141.66 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 35% 285.71 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 282.49 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 97.4% 256.41 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

No 72.9% 26.79 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

No 53.7% 37.22 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 78.13 shares
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

No 22% 22.73 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 18.9% 528.07 shares