Yes position
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$306
Polymarket Trader
simak
0xf792874d2bd4e6f80e13dafccf49948a9e1c1682
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07K
- Realized PnL
- $4.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- User PnL
- -$384.02
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- User PnL
- -$298.99
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$505.38
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$223.31
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
No position
FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $67.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.51
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.21
No position
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.46
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.01
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.07
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.15
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Ends Sep 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.3
No position
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.55
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.48
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.71
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.65
No position
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.91
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Yes position
Will Kamala and Trump both say "China" 2 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
Yes position
Will Kamala and Trump both say "Biden" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.74
No position
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots ParlayNo 74% 260 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 83% 193 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes 57% 86 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes 57% 100 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?No 99.1% 126.29 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?No 93% 112 shares
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 5.1% 4,308.58 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 85% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 84% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 99.7% 1,666 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No 10% 541 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes 7% 2,222 shares