Polymarket Trader

MaryGarcia6799

0xf7a9208339d5e13d6cdad107588e2f964003fee3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.82K
Realized PnL: $9.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $706.02

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968
Potential profit: $968
User PnL: -$251.68

No position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $751.92
Potential payout: $964
Potential profit: $212.08
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $106.04

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $366.05
Potential payout: $957
Potential profit: $590.95
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$411.03

Over position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $948
Potential profit: $948
User PnL: -$303.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930
Potential profit: $930
User PnL: -$781.2

$140 position

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $118.14
Potential payout: $853
Potential profit: $734.86
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$129.23

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $847
Potential payout: $847
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $127.9

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $837
Potential profit: $837
User PnL: -$93.74

Over position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $801
User PnL: -$200.25

Northern Illinois Huskies position

Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $395
Potential payout: $790
Potential profit: $395
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Ipswich Town FC position

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $774
Potential profit: $774
User PnL: -$187.74

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $765
Potential profit: $765
User PnL: -$206.55

Miami Marlins position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $365
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $365
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.3

SpaceX position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $730
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $131.4

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695
Potential profit: $695
User PnL: -$298.85

Afghanistan position

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $144.76
Potential payout: $658
Potential profit: $513.24
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$37.51

Under position

Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639
Potential profit: $639
User PnL: -$145.05

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572
Potential profit: $572
User PnL: -$106.12

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $376.2
Potential payout: $570
Potential profit: $193.8
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $11.4

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563
Potential profit: $563
User PnL: -$85.01

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $494
User PnL: -$247

San Diego State Aztecs position

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425
Potential profit: $425
User PnL: -$46.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413
Potential profit: $413
User PnL: -$206.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.25

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.64

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.56

No position

Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.25

No position

Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.31

Yes position

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $422.4

No position

Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.05

Yes position

Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $393.96

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $343.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.11

Penn State Nittany Lions position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $336.38

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $328.12

No position

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.87

Over position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.1

Yes position

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $268.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.04

Yes position

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.24

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Panama" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $235.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

No 70.4% 979 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 83% 70 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 69% 9 shares
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

No 6% 487 shares
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

No 6% 70 shares
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No 65% 478 shares
Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Northern Illinois Huskies 50% 790 shares
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 82% 57 shares
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 82% 63 shares
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 82% 68 shares
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

No 87% 167 shares
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

No 87% 198 shares