No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.16K
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $267.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $242.21
Polymarket Trader
Trumpchi
0xf7b3094865495f74f01bbf7fbcc83c535da5eeb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.05K
- Realized PnL
- $9.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$438.46
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $863.42
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $57.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $329.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $209.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$220.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $510
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$201
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.3%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $636.29
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$316.8
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $88.62
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$16.04
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $699.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $675.96
- Potential payout
- $799.96
- Potential profit
- $123.99
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$14.33
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $674.61
- Potential payout
- $692.62
- Potential profit
- $18.01
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.87
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $496.45
- Potential payout
- $636.48
- Potential profit
- $140.03
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $470.84
- Potential payout
- $550.69
- Potential profit
- $79.85
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $61.02
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $413.02
- Potential payout
- $488.78
- Potential profit
- $75.76
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $61.85
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $393.73
- Potential payout
- $449.97
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $57.29
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $106.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $193.5
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$138.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $164.35
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $103.95
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.25
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.88
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.83
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.01
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.22
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $425.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.04
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.58
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.75
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.93
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.43
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $262.61
No position
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $237.03
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.99
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 500 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 218.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.3% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 70.8% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 89.5% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 88.9% 26.92 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 80% 200 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 93.5% 141.17 shares