Polymarket Trader

usurpcognition

0xf7b3c3105c335a7c46c3ab85b1d47b5f7ed2ab43

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3
Realized PnL: $610.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$59.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.7

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.07
Potential profit: $487.07
User PnL: -$17.73

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435.61
Potential profit: $435.61
User PnL: -$20.43

Yes position

Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.91
Potential profit: $290.91
User PnL: -$11.79

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.87
Potential profit: $260.87
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.38
Potential profit: $234.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.91
Potential profit: $157.91
User PnL: -$43.71

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.89
Potential profit: $102.89
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.69
Potential profit: $102.69
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.49
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.09
Potential profit: $85.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.21
Potential profit: $84.21
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.91

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $75.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.71

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.07

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.03

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.33

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 23% 260.87 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 17% 147.06 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 5.9% 85.09 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 55% 210.53 shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 9.5% 572.73 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 19% 84.21 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 13% 102.69 shares