No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$147.79
Polymarket Trader
thatwasfun
0xf7b8d1ae7e5d1e2dc5864d417387a8bab9182992
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.25
- Realized PnL
- $917.05
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.05K
- Potential profit
- $5.05K
- User PnL
- -$63.99
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$59.29
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$52.5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$32.39
Yes position
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Magic position
Hornets vs. Magic
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $975.19
- Potential profit
- $975.19
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$25.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.99
- Potential profit
- $579.99
- User PnL
- -$20.97
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $497.74
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- User PnL
- -$14.7
No position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.18
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.88
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.8
No position
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.25
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.52
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
No position
Will the NYSE trading floor be closed on Monday?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will NYSE be fully closed Monday?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Pelicans position
Nets vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Heat position
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Eagles position
49ers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
49ers position
49ers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 400 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2% 86.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.8% 5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 4.4% 90.6 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 4.2% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 3.2% 300 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 3.1% 57 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 200 shares
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 1,800 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.4% 1,600 shares