Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
0xf7b9...813c
0xf7b9cd3e2d50d586064947b61bf354171bd6813c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $17.6
- Realized PnL
- -$1.37
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $2.72
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 37% 7.92 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 48% 9.25 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 28% 6.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 45% 8 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 59% 2.39 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 53% 2.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 8.15 shares
- Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes 41% 3 shares