Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $68.7
- Potential payout
- $808.23
- Potential profit
- $739.53
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$36.37
Polymarket Trader
dollerbill
0xf7c149c522fb44b8fbd3291b53c23b878358dd11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $571.66
- Realized PnL
- $709.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $249.94
- Potential payout
- $494.92
- Potential profit
- $244.99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $253.02
- Potential payout
- $276.53
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.22
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.5
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.31
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.86
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.28
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06
No position
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Trump post on X again before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
X drops antitrust case in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Ansem criminal charges in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Republican position
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will America ban Zyn in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 89.1% 276.53 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 808.23 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 494.92 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?No 94% 60 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 18.1% 90 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes 78% 76.92 shares
- Iran Nuke in 2025?No 83% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Mossad" this week?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?No 61% 20 shares