No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $873.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $150.61
Polymarket Trader
sonnguyen95
0xf7ebaa7f2f205a12609f7d1d0927316938c331c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.52K
- Realized PnL
- $4.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $274.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $91.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $871
- Potential profit
- $871
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.62
- Potential profit
- $581.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.48
- Potential profit
- $543.48
- User PnL
- -$500
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $87.98
- Potential profit
- $83.67
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.54
- Potential profit
- $85.54
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.81
- Potential profit
- $45.81
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $39.25
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.94
- Potential profit
- $33.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Italy position
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italy
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.95
- Potential profit
- $31.95
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $30.84
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $29.76
- Potential profit
- $25.67
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.43
- Potential profit
- $29.43
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Phan Vฤn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $632.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $176.14
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $166.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $135.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.86
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $41.74
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $24.71
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.22
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $7.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $6
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
UNLV Runnin Rebels position
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 30.5% 9.84 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 34% 29.41 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 90% 130 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 61.9% 256.63 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 90% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 10% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 0.1% 210.52 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?No 0.1% 5 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 25% 8.82 shares