Polymarket Trader

Nova-Inferno-Beacon

0xf7eee1876c8653fd5ac8c79b5bda8c2ed8aa4c80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28
Realized PnL: $18.21
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will the AP call the election on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Solana above $200 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

JD Vance positive favorability before the election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Putin position

Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.2% 1.29 shares
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?

Yes 65% 9.06 shares
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Yes 56% 4.39 shares
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Yes 50% 2 shares
Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?

Putin 62% 1.61 shares
Ukraine election called in 2025?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?

Yes 60% 3.33 shares