Polymarket Trader

Mars47

0xf7fdb4b47a946c9dbb78bf8bbb14b73bb28895ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.92
Realized PnL: $689.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918
Potential profit: $918
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918
Potential profit: $918
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734
Potential profit: $734
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734
Potential profit: $734
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734
Potential profit: $734
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734
Potential profit: $734
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.59
Potential profit: $718.59
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Will Kast win by at least 25%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.03
Potential profit: $717.03
User PnL: -$48.08

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $55.42
Potential payout: $715.05
Potential profit: $659.63
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$35.64

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.58
Potential profit: $601.58
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $447.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $244
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Brentford wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Trump send the national guard to Baltimore?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$36.6

Yes position

Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.48
Potential profit: $100.48
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Bournemouth wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.34

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.52

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

No position

Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

French election called by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.09

No position

Panick in the White House

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.61

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.7

Under position

Dak Prescott O/U 244.5 passing yards?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Avalanche position

Predators vs. Avalanche

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on Saturday August 30?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Israel strike Syria on Sunday August 31?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will CeeDee Lamb score a Touchdown in the Cowboys vs. Eagles game?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

No 7% 15.05 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

No 12.9% 700 shares
Will Kast win by at least 25%?

Yes 6.7% 717.03 shares
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Yes 11% 500 shares
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 15% 90 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 76.3% 525.9 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 41.4% 51.57 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 44% 40 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 34% 400 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 34% 200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 95.5% 50 shares
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

No 61% 174.08 shares