Polymarket Trader

165e9q22

0xf804de63d652ca75a7cc132a1bef9d9023b0e0d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.29
Realized PnL: $44.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $11.14
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $11.89
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.11
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on November 23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $2.50 and $2.60 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $110 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 10-16?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95.6% 2.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 84.9% 2.69 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.9% 14.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 99.9% 13.95 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 14.14 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 16?

No 99.9% 14.07 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 14?

No 99.9% 14.05 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 13?

No 99.9% 14.04 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 12?

No 99.9% 14.03 shares
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 10?

No 99.9% 14.01 shares
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 4?

No 99.9% 14 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?

No 99.9% 13.98 shares