Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
shorny
0xf807bf2f9de09f9562009575ca77d67cafe9c5dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57K
- Realized PnL
- $13.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $117.19
Yes position
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- User PnL
- -$294.58
Yes position
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- User PnL
- -$891
Connecticut Sun position
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$277.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Hubert Hurkacz position
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$694.31
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $899.71
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$316
Yes position
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$168.43
Yes position
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$540.3
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$196.28
Rafael Jodar position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$456.28
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$378.75
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$339.32
Washington Mystics position
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$479
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $170.73
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.27
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$545
Indiana Fever position
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.4%
- Current value
- $860.78
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $455.4
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $442.21
Phoenix Mercury position
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$102.04
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $172.8
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.77
Zachary Svajda position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$200.03
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Anna Kalinskaya position
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.92
Golden State Valkyries position
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.2
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.64
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.24
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.03
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.08
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.9
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.8
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.54
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.96
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.41
Luis Felipe Dias position
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.47
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.17
Jose Henrique position
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.32
New York Liberty position
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.2
Matteo Berrettini position
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.46
Washington Mystics position
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 15.2% 1,250 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.6% 1,546.02 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 33.3% 525.49 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 2,246.58 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 30.8% 790.69 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 3,102.42 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15.9% 1,280 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 43.7% 340 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 1,250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 1,790 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15.8% 1,250 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.7% 2,870.88 shares