Polymarket Trader

zailai

0xf8135e6dd56719c18cba3fe212fd76c00c44ce44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.04
Realized PnL: $101.51
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.62
Potential profit: $37.62
User PnL: -$10.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.05
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $7.68
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $1.82

FlyQuest position

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 82% 6.1 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 5.62 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 92% 5.43 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 22% 4.55 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 96.7% 5.17 shares
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

No 91.1% 7.68 shares
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6% 2.09 shares
Human moon landing in 2026?

No 96.9% 2.06 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 90% 5.56 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 97% 5.15 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

FlyQuest 77% 2.6 shares