Polymarket Trader

99god

0xf824fa9cf49c510b204ad70316326540f9fce3ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $195.51
Realized PnL: $303.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $88.62
Potential payout: $102.45
Potential profit: $13.83
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.62

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $98.35
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.74
Potential profit: $12.74
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $11.91
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $6.47
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $5.16
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $1.95
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $1.36
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.7

No position

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.46

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.74

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.17

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?

Yes 79.1% 102.45 shares
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 80.8% 100 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 90.1% 100 shares
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 72% 101.39 shares
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Yes 86.6% 101.63 shares
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 1.6% 85 shares
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 90.16 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 92.7% 100.11 shares
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Yes 98.1% 100 shares
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Yes 97.1% 100.14 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 89% 101.12 shares