Polymarket Trader

Zorua.

0xf82fa4344753967f703a93d5658bae37eed28137

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $226.83
Realized PnL: $4.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $10.53K
User PnL: -$307.88

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$531.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$425

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.97
Potential profit: $699.97
User PnL: -$349.55

No position

Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.76
Potential profit: $643.76
User PnL: -$119.22

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.3
Potential profit: $586.3
User PnL: -$25.63

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.61
Potential profit: $293.61
User PnL: -$76.35

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $226.65
Potential payout: $262.03
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $19.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $91.36
Potential profit: $91.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $34.17
Potential profit: $34.04
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$18.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.51

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.33

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.49

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.42

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.18

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.1

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.33

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.52

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.25

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.86

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 79% 262.03 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 55.6% 34.17 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 21.9% 91.36 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 400 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 492 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 368 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 108 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 32 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 600 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 400 shares