Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0x2D8A05dA27a9dF2a0DC9275aBF3249Aa5EbCaDB2-1775614014160
0xf83311124ae5841702e29873d3e5aaace7c5b744
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.37
- Realized PnL
- $136.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $396.46
- Potential profit
- $395.28
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $388.89
- Potential profit
- $384.03
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $274.73
- Potential profit
- $274.32
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $186.68
- Potential profit
- $186.4
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $142.11
- Potential profit
- $142.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $119.83
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.94
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Down position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.82
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67
- Potential profit
- $86.67
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.71
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.3
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.6
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.33
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.57
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.29
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.73
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 99.5% 1.26 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 79% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 2.75 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 45% 5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?No 99% 1.06 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 45% 5 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 56% 5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?No 89% 1.41 shares