Polymarket Trader

0xf83e...008f

0xf83ed54a07a4d9cb76f4cd8ecad1263b57bb008f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $23.26
Realized PnL: $21.43
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.92
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $11.95
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $3.11
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Over position

France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Switzerland position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

No 99.9% 6.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 6.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 4% 4.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 69% 2.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?

No 78% 2.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Yes 21% 9.52 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Over 76.2% 2.57 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?

No 11% 18.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

No 58% 6.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Down 94% 3.9 shares