Polymarket Trader

nikos.paixtis

0xf8412c6c4c3967104af6f6a999c07f37ad1bb2eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.88K
Realized PnL: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$34.94

No position

Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $442.62
Potential payout: $477.47
Potential profit: $34.86
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$16.09

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $425.81
Potential profit: $423.47
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $354
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$98

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $336.43
Potential payout: $351
Potential profit: $14.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $17.86

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $337.98
Potential profit: $337.65
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$11.65

No position

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $239.1
Potential payout: $242
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.04

No position

Will Sean Sweeney be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $215.39
Potential payout: $239.99
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$20.16

No position

Will Ivory Coast be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $200.69
Potential payout: $207
Potential profit: $6.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$4.04

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $185.09
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$38.45

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $105.99
Potential profit: $85.85
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$24.65

No position

Will Tiago Splitter be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.41
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: -$7.41

No position

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

Ends Oct 22, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $77.6
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Nico Paz win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $72.17
Potential payout: $73.49
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.38
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $45.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$20.86

No position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Derrick White be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.12

Yes position

Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.94

No position

Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.64

Kings position

Oilers vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.7

Utah position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.8

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.38

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Sabres position

Lightning vs. Sabres

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.2

No position

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.38

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Utah position

Utah vs. Stars

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.79

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.71

No position

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.27

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.6

No position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.95

Suns position

Suns vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Sharks position

Jets vs. Sharks

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.24

Yes position

Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4

Blue Jackets position

Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

No 93% 242 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 95.7% 314 shares
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals

Yes 99% 100 shares
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.9% 37.34 shares
Will Sean Sweeney be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?

No 99.1% 10 shares
Will Tiago Splitter be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?

No 99% 100 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

No 95% 10 shares
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5

Yes 97% 14.34 shares
Liam Millar: 1+ assists

No 99% 34.99 shares
Will Mikal Bridges lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made?

No 95.9% 60.91 shares
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made?

No 99.8% 30 shares
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?

Yes 21% 5.08 shares