Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $499.14
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$465.44
Polymarket Trader
0C822c8C
0xf8500c822c8c1a47ff5cf5d121af6f208ee1bfa9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $499.14
- Realized PnL
- $284.41
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$647.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.9
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.6
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $37.21
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.86
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes 0.1% 189.37 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 18% 1,261.1 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes 36% 24 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes 35% 9.02 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes 34% 53.26 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes 33% 10.3 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12% 261.11 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 64.3% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 64.2% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 64.1% 39.55 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 64.1% 10.45 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 64.2% 10.45 shares