No position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $338.58
- Potential payout
- $473.54
- Potential profit
- $134.96
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Polymarket Trader
Pauliux
0xf853f948315d3f50b09f86b2a32bfafdaa7921d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $929.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $300.51
- Potential payout
- $304.62
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $54.91
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $179.88
- Potential payout
- $194.99
- Potential profit
- $15.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $73.34
- Potential payout
- $91.68
- Potential profit
- $18.34
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Over position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $79.37
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.52
- Potential profit
- $56.52
- User PnL
- -$13
Zalgiris Kaunas position
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.49
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.64
No position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.78
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.77
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.12
No position
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.92
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.39
No position
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.73
No position
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.19
No position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.83
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.62
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.03
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?No 74% 117.62 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?No 74% 18.66 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?No 74.3% 46.49 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No 90% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No 90% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No 90% 70 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No 89.9% 29.99 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?No 89.9% 55 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?No 66% 42 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 12% 6 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?No 80% 57 shares