Polymarket Trader

SiSi

0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.6K
Realized PnL: $55.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $286.96
Potential payout: $17.39K
Potential profit: $17.1K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$113.03

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.96K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$18.75

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $6.08K
Potential payout: $6.53K
Potential profit: $454.18
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $80.8

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26K
Potential profit: $6.26K
User PnL: -$3.5K

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.63K
Potential profit: $5.63K
User PnL: -$1.11K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $789.93
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.26K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $396.22

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.55K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.54K
User PnL: -$1.75K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $220.26
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.23K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $71.04
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $51.59
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $423.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $587.83

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$420

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.37K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$176.03

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Yes position

Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$307.39

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $59.62
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$937.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$964.72

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $176.75
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$454.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

No position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Yes 6% 58.82 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 15% 2,194.68 shares
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

G2 69% 724.64 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 63% 400 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 39% 1,025.64 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 11,250 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 41% 2,495 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 45.5% 5 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 92% 2,173.91 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 35.9% 2,500 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?

Yes 23.7% 421.44 shares