No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $47.2
- Potential payout
- $555.29
- Potential profit
- $508.09
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$30.49
Polymarket Trader
0xF8693EBd6D00a6e1d86E3880163Ca40c71fD6C0c-1774528913367
0xf8693ebd6d00a6e1d86e3880163ca40c71fd6c0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.2
- Realized PnL
- $334.62
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $235.29
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 14% 555.29 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 61% 11.9 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No 10.1% 156.1 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?No 6% 214.28 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No 19.2% 156.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown 18% 4.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 20% 8.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown 54% 9.52 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 14?Yes 1% 21.34 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 14?Yes 45% 20.46 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?No 14% 214.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 17% 235.29 shares