Polymarket Trader

0xf86e1432f3fbde3Eb5E2E6713aBEf31D38f5DdcE-1768071149307

0xf86e1432f3fbde3eb5e2e6713abef31d38f5ddce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $277.72
Realized PnL: -$278.38
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $139.26
Potential payout: $631.57
Potential profit: $492.31
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $39.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.71
Potential profit: $598.71
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.24
Potential payout: $495.97
Potential profit: $463.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$34.69

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.15
Potential profit: $396.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $106.22
Potential payout: $200.42
Potential profit: $94.2
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$13.78

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.2
Potential profit: $107.2
User PnL: -$10

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.93
Potential profit: $73.93
User PnL: -$64.32

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.45
Potential profit: $66.45
User PnL: -$21.93

No position

Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.22
Potential profit: $57.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.22
Potential profit: $32.22
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Capital of the World" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$8.86

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.26

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: -$14.12

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$24.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$78.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$209.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 54% 21.12 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 1,002.38 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 385.57 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 82% 22.32 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 169.36 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 71% 21.13 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.5% 130.08 shares
Will Trump say "Capital of the World" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 45% 21 shares
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Yes 2.3% 206.25 shares
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Yes 8% 58.82 shares
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 87% 73.93 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 68.66 shares