Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $474
- Potential profit
- $471.87
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Polymarket Trader
prediction135
0xf88734c0718ba32c28a81e0f70f3ed811022c0e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.47
- Realized PnL
- $11.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353
- Potential profit
- $353
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.4
- Potential profit
- $242.4
- User PnL
- -$7.51
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $224
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $219.2
- Potential profit
- $207.47
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $132.59
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $53.8
- Potential profit
- $49.44
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $44.6
- Potential profit
- $40.01
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.8%
- Current value
- $15.4
- Potential payout
- $41.9
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 2.72x
- User PnL
- $11.38
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.79
- Potential profit
- $34.79
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $22.9
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $19.58
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.2%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 83% 24.3 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 42.1% 13.3 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 13.7 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.5% 108.1 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 121.2 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.6% 111.1 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 121.2 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 20% 20.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.6% 41.9 shares
- Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 18% 22.9 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 14.4% 34.79 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 24% 5 shares